CARPanthers
8-8
17
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
031
SEASeahawks
12-4
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
10
0
7
17
Seahawks
7
7
0
11
25
Spread
-13.5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
362
348
Total Plays
68
52
Yards / Play
5.3
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.18
Passing Yards
230
248
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
15/22(68%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
11.3
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.67
Rushing Yards
132
100
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
56%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
9
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.07
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-16
-20
Sack EPA
-3.08
-4.27
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
35
60
Penalty EPA
-3.16
-5.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-11.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-15.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model89.0%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-13.5
Expected Value
+15.7%
Cover Probability
60.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+404
Home nfelo
1,703
Away nfelo
1,442
Home Field
+135.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-29.4
Home QB Adjustment
+11.9
Away QB Adjustment
+41.3
Market Regression
+27.7
Final Difference
363.3
Model Spread
-15.5
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+41.3
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
1
Yards / Game
15
1
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
7
4
EPA
EPA / Play
17
4
EPA / Pass
19
4
EPA / Rush
11
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
12
Interceptions / Game
14
13
Fumbles / Game
14
15
Turnover EPA / Game
12
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
28
RZ Efficiency
25
22
Seahawks Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
8
6
Passing Yards / Game
13
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
11
EPA
EPA / Play
8
16
EPA / Pass
10
14
EPA / Rush
1
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
14
Interceptions / Game
5
15
Fumbles / Game
9
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
21
4th Down Efficiency
29
14
RZ Efficiency
19
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
9-1
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U