NEPatriots
6-4
16
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
58°F
8 mph
26
KCChiefs
6-4
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
58°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
0
3
7
6
16
Chiefs
7
12
7
0
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
420
Total Plays
62
65
Yards / Play
4.9
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.17
Passing Yards
232
308
Comp/Att
22/41(54%)
19/26(73%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
11.8
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.52
Rushing Yards
74
112
Rush Attempts
18
37
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
24
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-11.88
-4.63
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-16
-15
Sack EPA
-3.07
-2.73
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
16
Yards / Game
6
26
Passing Yards / Game
7
30
Rushing Yards / Game
23
8
EPA
EPA / Play
7
27
EPA / Pass
4
28
EPA / Rush
16
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
17
Interceptions / Game
16
14
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
15
4th Down Efficiency
3
10
RZ Efficiency
3
6
Chiefs Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
17
Yards / Game
1
24
Passing Yards / Game
6
20
Rushing Yards / Game
4
7
EPA
EPA / Play
2
23
EPA / Pass
6
25
EPA / Rush
3
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
26
Interceptions / Game
3
26
Fumbles / Game
23
29
Turnover EPA / Game
23
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
22
4th Down Efficiency
6
3
RZ Efficiency
14
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U