NEPatriots
7-5
15
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
020
INDColts
10-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
3
3
6
15
Colts
7
7
6
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
401
287
Total Plays
70
53
Yards / Play
5.7
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.10
Passing Yards
344
178
Comp/Att
31/45(69%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.23
Rushing Yards
57
109
Rush Attempts
20
25
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
15
Passing 1st downs
19
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
23%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.54
-3.67
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-35
-8
Sack EPA
-7.75
+1.80
Penalties
11
4
Penalty Yards
85
26
Penalty EPA
-6.26
-2.35
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
17
Yards / Game
18
15
Passing Yards / Game
4
7
Rushing Yards / Game
22
21
EPA
EPA / Play
22
19
EPA / Pass
20
19
EPA / Rush
24
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
31
Interceptions / Game
26
30
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
12
4th Down Efficiency
25
12
RZ Efficiency
27
14
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
5
Yards / Game
7
7
Passing Yards / Game
29
3
Rushing Yards / Game
19
20
EPA
EPA / Play
3
8
EPA / Pass
2
13
EPA / Rush
12
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
3
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
10
7
Turnover EPA / Game
24
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
15
4th Down Efficiency
28
5
RZ Efficiency
19
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U