NEPatriots
0-1
31
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
82°F
10 mph
10
PHIEagles
0-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
82°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
14
7
1
25
Eagles
0
7
0
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
309
268
Total Plays
76
72
Yards / Play
4.1
3.7
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.37
Passing Yards
247
169
Comp/Att
30/44(68%)
20/48(42%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
3.5
EPA / Pass
+0.15
-0.70
Rushing Yards
62
99
Rush Attempts
30
17
Yards / Rush
2.1
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.33
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
23
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
24%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
+4.69
-23.41
Sacks
2
7
Sack Yards
-8
-42
Sack EPA
-4.01
-15.64
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
84
53
Penalty EPA
-8.04
-7.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
6
Yards / Game
15
19
Passing Yards / Game
18
21
Rushing Yards / Game
26
23
EPA
EPA / Play
15
13
EPA / Pass
9
11
EPA / Rush
29
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
5
27
Fumbles / Game
18
4
Turnover EPA / Game
26
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
9
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
28
13
Eagles Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
1
Yards / Game
17
7
Passing Yards / Game
17
27
Rushing Yards / Game
9
3
EPA
EPA / Play
8
2
EPA / Pass
18
3
EPA / Rush
1
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
25
Interceptions / Game
7
1
Fumbles / Game
8
22
Turnover EPA / Game
25
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
8
4th Down Efficiency
9
6
RZ Efficiency
6
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U