NEPatriots
0-1
19
TBD
Giants Stadium
72°F
5 mph
20
NYJJets
1-0
TBD
Giants Stadium
72°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
9
0
7
19
Jets
7
0
0
13
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
293
331
Total Plays
83
54
Yards / Play
3.5
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.04
Passing Yards
193
249
Comp/Att
25/43(58%)
16/35(46%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.11
+0.17
Rushing Yards
100
60
Rush Attempts
34
17
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
18
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
11
5
3rd Down Attempts
22
12
Red Zone %
17%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-5.10
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-36
-10
Sack EPA
-7.62
-2.34
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
8
69
Penalty EPA
-0.70
-4.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
21
10
Passing Yards / Game
14
11
Rushing Yards / Game
26
23
EPA
EPA / Play
20
8
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
27
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
30
Interceptions / Game
10
7
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
21
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
20
4th Down Efficiency
12
12
RZ Efficiency
24
6
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
17
Yards / Game
11
19
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20
EPA
EPA / Play
23
17
EPA / Pass
15
24
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
8
Interceptions / Game
30
29
Fumbles / Game
13
16
Turnover EPA / Game
2
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
28
4th Down Efficiency
3
31
RZ Efficiency
10
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U