NEPatriots
11-0
27
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
40°F
27 mph
24
BALRavens
4-7
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
40°F
27 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
7
7
10
27
Ravens
7
3
7
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
326
376
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
5.0
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.10
Passing Yards
236
--
Comp/Att
18/38(47%)
15/23(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+0.10
Rushing Yards
90
166
Rush Attempts
24
37
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
5
--
3rd Down %
17%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
75%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-0.42
-4.23
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-4.11
--
Penalties
4
12
Penalty Yards
--
85
Penalty EPA
--
-17.60
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
22
Yards / Game
1
6
Passing Yards / Game
8
13
Rushing Yards / Game
11
2
EPA
EPA / Play
1
20
EPA / Pass
1
27
EPA / Rush
2
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
12
Interceptions / Game
3
13
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
32
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
6
4th Down Efficiency
4
19
RZ Efficiency
2
3
Ravens Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
1
Yards / Game
22
5
Passing Yards / Game
29
21
Rushing Yards / Game
15
9
EPA
EPA / Play
28
12
EPA / Pass
27
3
EPA / Rush
22
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
24
Interceptions / Game
6
6
Fumbles / Game
32
17
Turnover EPA / Game
1
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
4
4th Down Efficiency
12
25
RZ Efficiency
28
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
10-0
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
4-6
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U