NEPatriots
15-2
41
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
11°F
9 mph
27
PITSteelers
16-1
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
11°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
10
8
7
10
35
Steelers
3
0
14
10
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
322
388
Total Plays
55
62
Yards / Play
5.9
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.36
-0.02
Passing Yards
196
225
Comp/Att
14/21(67%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
9.4
EPA / Pass
+0.55
-0.17
Rushing Yards
126
163
Rush Attempts
32
37
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
42%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-19.56
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
-1
Sack EPA
-2.79
-0.99
Penalties
1
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
6
Yards / Game
9
1
Passing Yards / Game
12
6
Rushing Yards / Game
6
2
EPA
EPA / Play
4
5
EPA / Pass
5
3
EPA / Rush
10
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
21
Interceptions / Game
6
12
Fumbles / Game
20
18
Turnover EPA / Game
28
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
5
4th Down Efficiency
21
22
RZ Efficiency
7
7
Steelers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
2
Yards / Game
13
9
Passing Yards / Game
26
16
Rushing Yards / Game
2
5
EPA
EPA / Play
12
9
EPA / Pass
12
8
EPA / Rush
14
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
28
Interceptions / Game
14
3
Fumbles / Game
9
2
Turnover EPA / Game
18
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
22
4th Down Efficiency
8
14
RZ Efficiency
25
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
10-0
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U