OAKRaiders
1-6
3
TBD
Levi's Stadium
82°F
8 mph
34
SF49ers
1-7
TBD
Levi's Stadium
82°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
0
0
0
3
49ers
7
10
14
3
34
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
242
405
Total Plays
55
54
Yards / Play
4.4
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.28
+0.34
Passing Yards
140
--
Comp/Att
17/24(71%)
16/22(73%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.23
+0.85
Rushing Yards
102
143
Rush Attempts
23
32
Yards / Rush
4.4
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
25%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
8
--
Sack Yards
-39
--
Sack EPA
-10.80
--
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
40
23
Penalty EPA
-6.38
-1.36
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
+3.5
Current
-1.5
Model
+1.0
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model47.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+49
Home nfelo
1,465
Away nfelo
1,334
Home Field
+57.9
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-140.4
Home QB Adjustment
-128.9
Away QB Adjustment
+11.5
Market Regression
-73.2
Final Difference
15.5
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+11.5
N. Mullens
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-128.9
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
28
Yards / Game
23
13
Passing Yards / Game
12
20
Rushing Yards / Game
25
13
EPA
EPA / Play
26
26
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
29
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
9
Interceptions / Game
8
32
Fumbles / Game
31
26
Turnover EPA / Game
5
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
21
4th Down Efficiency
28
18
RZ Efficiency
22
26
49ers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
32
Yards / Game
14
26
Passing Yards / Game
16
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30
EPA
EPA / Play
21
32
EPA / Pass
20
32
EPA / Rush
28
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
4
Interceptions / Game
30
14
Fumbles / Game
25
31
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
30
4th Down Efficiency
19
28
RZ Efficiency
32
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
49ers
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U