OAKRaiders
-
19
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
024
LACChargers
-
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
0
10
6
19
Chargers
3
14
7
0
24
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
52.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
320
355
Total Plays
57
65
Yards / Play
5.6
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.05
Passing Yards
256
--
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
26/34(76%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.44
Rushing Yards
64
76
Rush Attempts
13
31
Yards / Rush
4.9
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.41
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
45%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-13.09
--
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-39
--
Sack EPA
-10.80
--
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
11
21
Penalty EPA
-2.28
-2.17
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+85
Home nfelo
1,544
Away nfelo
1,503
Home Field
+33.0
Base HFA
+36.8
Divisional Adj
-16.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+11.0
Home QB Adjustment
+5.1
Away QB Adjustment
-5.8
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-5.8
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
23
Yards / Game
12
20
Passing Yards / Game
15
7
Rushing Yards / Game
17
27
EPA
EPA / Play
13
14
EPA / Pass
14
9
EPA / Rush
13
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
16
Interceptions / Game
28
5
Fumbles / Game
1
27
Turnover EPA / Game
8
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
9
9
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
26
Yards / Game
8
27
Passing Yards / Game
5
5
Rushing Yards / Game
30
19
EPA
EPA / Play
18
25
EPA / Pass
12
30
EPA / Rush
17
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
25
Interceptions / Game
6
31
Fumbles / Game
27
25
Turnover EPA / Game
29
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
25
4th Down Efficiency
15
20
RZ Efficiency
18
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Chargers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
8-2
O/U