OAKRaiders
6-8
24
TBD
StubHub Center
64°F
10 mph
17
LACChargers
5-9
TBD
StubHub Center
64°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
7
7
3
24
Chargers
0
7
7
3
17
Spread
+7.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
366
284
Total Plays
62
56
Yards / Play
5.9
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.05
Passing Yards
267
265
Comp/Att
26/30(87%)
27/39(69%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.48
+0.12
Rushing Yards
99
19
Rush Attempts
29
16
Yards / Rush
3.4
1.2
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
50%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-24
-14
Sack EPA
-4.90
-2.00
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
47
--
Penalty EPA
-5.41
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model69.6%
Spread Pick
Raiders+7.5
Expected Value
+12.7%
Cover Probability
59.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+107
Home nfelo
1,489
Away nfelo
1,394
Home Field
+25.5
Base HFA
+46.5
Divisional Adj
-20.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.5
Home QB Adjustment
-8.1
Away QB Adjustment
+5.3
Market Regression
+13.1
Final Difference
144.1
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+5.3
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-8.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
12
6
Passing Yards / Game
24
3
Rushing Yards / Game
13
18
EPA
EPA / Play
14
22
EPA / Pass
6
22
EPA / Rush
21
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
21
Interceptions / Game
7
21
Fumbles / Game
18
30
Turnover EPA / Game
15
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
29
4th Down Efficiency
7
28
RZ Efficiency
22
21
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
24
Yards / Game
10
19
Passing Yards / Game
3
16
Rushing Yards / Game
28
6
EPA
EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
11
31
EPA / Rush
25
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
27
Interceptions / Game
29
29
Fumbles / Game
18
30
Turnover EPA / Game
4
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
26
4th Down Efficiency
9
32
RZ Efficiency
22
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Chargers
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U