OAKRaiders
6-9
10
TBD
StubHub Center
62°F
2 mph
30
LACChargers
8-7
TBD
StubHub Center
62°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
10
0
0
10
Chargers
0
20
10
0
30
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
336
495
Total Plays
53
68
Yards / Play
6.3
7.3
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.19
Passing Yards
231
380
Comp/Att
19/28(68%)
28/37(76%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
10.3
EPA / Pass
-0.02
+0.51
Rushing Yards
105
115
Rush Attempts
23
30
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
26
Passing 1st downs
7
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
36%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.81
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-12
-7
Sack EPA
-3.52
-1.61
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
85
65
Penalty EPA
-6.51
-7.62
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+181
Home nfelo
1,552
Away nfelo
1,421
Home Field
+30.8
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
-25.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+20.4
Home QB Adjustment
+13.1
Away QB Adjustment
-7.3
Market Regression
-45.8
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-7.3
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+13.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
1
Yards / Game
18
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
18
Rushing Yards / Game
25
31
EPA
EPA / Play
15
10
EPA / Pass
16
3
EPA / Rush
22
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
32
Interceptions / Game
20
5
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
13
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
19
4th Down Efficiency
27
5
RZ Efficiency
8
1
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
20
Yards / Game
5
24
Passing Yards / Game
16
23
Rushing Yards / Game
24
11
EPA
EPA / Play
8
31
EPA / Pass
4
31
EPA / Rush
21
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
30
Interceptions / Game
10
32
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
25
4th Down Efficiency
18
30
RZ Efficiency
27
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
3-5-2
ATS
3-7
O/U
Chargers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
1-9
O/U