OAKRaiders
6-8
10
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
29°F
15 mph
19
PHIEagles
12-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
29°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
7
3
0
10
Eagles
7
0
3
3
13
Spread
+10
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
274
216
Total Plays
63
62
Yards / Play
4.3
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.56
-0.45
Passing Yards
137
138
Comp/Att
15/29(52%)
19/38(50%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
3.6
EPA / Pass
-0.70
-0.43
Rushing Yards
137
78
Rush Attempts
33
22
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
12
Passing 1st downs
4
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
23%
7%
3rd Down Conversions
3
1
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-25.31
-9.38
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-3
-25
Sack EPA
-1.85
-4.16
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
50
60
Penalty EPA
-7.07
-8.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+202
Home nfelo
1,680
Away nfelo
1,423
Home Field
+25.9
Base HFA
+55.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-30.0
Net QB Adjustment
-80.1
Home QB Adjustment
-78.3
Away QB Adjustment
+1.8
Market Regression
+18.6
Final Difference
235.4
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+1.8
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-78.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
4
Yards / Game
18
9
Passing Yards / Game
30
26
Rushing Yards / Game
25
1
EPA
EPA / Play
15
5
EPA / Pass
16
7
EPA / Rush
22
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
22
Interceptions / Game
20
6
Fumbles / Game
31
2
Turnover EPA / Game
13
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
3
4th Down Efficiency
27
2
RZ Efficiency
8
12
Eagles Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
20
Yards / Game
4
24
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
3
11
EPA
EPA / Play
4
31
EPA / Pass
2
31
EPA / Rush
11
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
30
Interceptions / Game
4
32
Fumbles / Game
22
18
Turnover EPA / Game
29
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
25
4th Down Efficiency
3
30
RZ Efficiency
2
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
2-6-2
ATS
4-6
O/U
Eagles
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
5-5
O/U