OAKRaiders
6-5
31
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
18 mph
28
NYJJets
0-11
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
10
7
7
31
Jets
7
6
0
15
28
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
440
378
Total Plays
74
61
Yards / Play
5.9
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.05
Passing Yards
368
172
Comp/Att
28/47(60%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.08
Rushing Yards
72
206
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
2.9
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
24
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
43%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
9
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-9.82
-13.39
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-16
Sack EPA
-1.35
-10.55
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-6.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model74.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-217
Home nfelo
1,292
Away nfelo
1,503
Home Field
+11.8
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-16.9
Home QB Adjustment
-19.0
Away QB Adjustment
-2.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-189.9
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-19.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
8
24
Passing Yards / Game
18
15
Rushing Yards / Game
14
12
EPA
EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
14
29
EPA / Rush
12
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
9
Interceptions / Game
7
23
Fumbles / Game
32
13
Turnover EPA / Game
3
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
23
4th Down Efficiency
3
5
RZ Efficiency
23
14
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
30
Yards / Game
32
26
Passing Yards / Game
25
5
Rushing Yards / Game
22
23
EPA
EPA / Play
32
29
EPA / Pass
32
28
EPA / Rush
28
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
24
Interceptions / Game
23
23
Fumbles / Game
5
31
Turnover EPA / Game
19
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
30
4th Down Efficiency
30
31
RZ Efficiency
32
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Jets
0-10
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U