nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. raiders @ jets week 13, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

OAK logo
OAKRaiders
6-5
31
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
18 mph
28
NYJJets
0-11
NYJ logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
39°F
18 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
10
7
7
31
Jets
7
6
0
15
28

Spread

NYJ logo
+7.5

Total

OVER
48

Game Statistics

General
Raiders logo
Jets logo
Total Yards
440
378
Total Plays
74
61
Yards / Play
5.9
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.05
Passing Yards
368
172
Comp/Att
28/47(60%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.08
Rushing Yards
72
206
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
2.9
6.1
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
Raiders logo
Jets logo
1st Downs
24
24
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
43%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
9
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Raiders logo
Jets logo
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-9.82
-13.39
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-16
Sack EPA
-1.35
-10.55
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-6.81

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
OAK logo
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5

Win Probability

Market74.9%
Model74.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-220
Home nfelo
1,288
Away nfelo
1,503
Home Field
+11.8
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-16.9
Home QB Adjustment
-19.0
Away QB Adjustment
-2.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-189.9
Model Spread
+7.5

Quarterbacks

D. Carr headshot

D. Carr

Proj. Value
+0.8
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
Value
Ptile
09/21
5.0
78
09/27
5.3
79
10/04
7.1
89
10/11
6.0
83
10/25
2.1
59
11/01
-2.5
27
11/08
-0.6
42
11/15
-2.1
28
11/22
5.8
82
11/29
-8.7
5
S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
-19.0
Value
Ptile
12/12
1.1
61
12/22
-0.5
49
12/29
-2.8
33
09/13
-2.8
25
09/20
-0.3
44
09/27
-7.5
7
10/01
-0.3
44
10/25
-15.0
0
11/01
-2.4
27
11/29
-9.0
4

Team Matchup Ranks

Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Raiders logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
10
26
Yards / Game
8
24
Passing Yards / Game
18
15
Rushing Yards / Game
14
12

EPA

EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
14
29
EPA / Rush
12
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
9
Interceptions / Game
7
23
Fumbles / Game
32
13
Turnover EPA / Game
3
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
23
4th Down Efficiency
3
5
RZ Efficiency
23
14
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Jets logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
32
30
Yards / Game
32
26
Passing Yards / Game
25
5
Rushing Yards / Game
22
23

EPA

EPA / Play
32
29
EPA / Pass
32
28
EPA / Rush
28
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
24
Interceptions / Game
23
23
Fumbles / Game
5
31
Turnover EPA / Game
19
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
30
4th Down Efficiency
30
31
RZ Efficiency
32
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

OAK logo

Raiders

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/21
10
W
W
O
09/27
-16
L
L
O
10/04
-7
L
L
P
10/11
8
W
W
O
10/25
-25
L
L
O
11/01
10
W
W
U
11/08
5
W
W
O
11/15
25
W
W
U
11/22
-4
L
W
O
11/29
-37
L
L
U
NYJ logo

Jets

0-10
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/20
-18
L
L
O
09/27
-29
L
L
U
10/01
-9
L
L
O
10/11
-20
L
L
U
10/18
-24
L
L
U
10/25
-8
L
W
U
11/01
-26
L
L
U
11/09
-3
L
W
O
11/22
-6
L
W
O
11/29
-17
L
L
U