LARRams
2-1
35
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
030
DALCowboys
2-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
13
10
9
35
Cowboys
3
21
0
6
30
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
412
440
Total Plays
68
66
Yards / Play
6.1
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.35
+0.18
Passing Yards
244
251
Comp/Att
21/36(58%)
20/37(54%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.10
Rushing Yards
168
189
Rush Attempts
31
27
Yards / Rush
5.4
7.0
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
25%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+5.29
-3.88
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-11
-1
Sack EPA
-1.94
-2.30
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
41
45
Penalty EPA
-4.01
-3.02
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model76.4%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-5.5
Expected Value
+22.9%
Cover Probability
64.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+270
Home nfelo
1,596
Away nfelo
1,425
Home Field
+97.8
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+20.5
Net QB Adjustment
+1.5
Home QB Adjustment
+12.5
Away QB Adjustment
+11.0
Market Regression
-27.8
Final Difference
204.2
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+11.0
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+12.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
9
Yards / Game
8
6
Passing Yards / Game
13
1
Rushing Yards / Game
7
8
EPA
EPA / Play
6
16
EPA / Pass
8
20
EPA / Rush
7
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
22
Interceptions / Game
1
25
Fumbles / Game
30
14
Turnover EPA / Game
21
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
22
6
RZ Efficiency
15
22
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
12
Yards / Game
14
17
Passing Yards / Game
27
11
Rushing Yards / Game
2
27
EPA
EPA / Play
10
7
EPA / Pass
19
5
EPA / Rush
1
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
24
Interceptions / Game
17
7
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
19
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
14
4th Down Efficiency
11
27
RZ Efficiency
7
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
1-9
ATS
7-3
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U