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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ cowboys week 17, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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LAR logo
LARRams
5-10
20
TBD
Texas Stadium
75°F
0
10
DALCowboys
9-6
DAL logo
TBD
Texas Stadium
75°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
10
0
10
20
Cowboys
7
3
0
0
10

Game Statistics

General
Rams logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
253
271
Total Plays
67
66
Yards / Play
3.8
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.29
Passing Yards
147
214
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
18/39(46%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
5.5
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.33
Rushing Yards
106
57
Rush Attempts
33
22
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
Rams logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
20
15
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
5
2
3rd Down %
38%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Rams logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-13.75
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-11
-28
Sack EPA
-3.29
-9.07
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
40
78
Penalty EPA
-4.84
-11.09

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Rams logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
11
12
Yards / Game
9
10
Passing Yards / Game
2
24
Rushing Yards / Game
22
14

EPA

EPA / Play
18
14
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
30
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
4
Interceptions / Game
30
20
Fumbles / Game
18
23
Turnover EPA / Game
6
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
6
4th Down Efficiency
4
27
RZ Efficiency
20
11
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Cowboys logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
15
31
Yards / Game
12
30
Passing Yards / Game
12
25
Rushing Yards / Game
13
28

EPA

EPA / Play
15
22
EPA / Pass
10
23
EPA / Rush
24
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
6
Interceptions / Game
22
24
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
12
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
23
4th Down Efficiency
10
1
RZ Efficiency
13
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/17
-17
L
L
P
10/23
11
W
W
P
10/30
3
W
W
P
11/13
-15
L
L
P
11/20
-10
L
L
P
11/27
6
W
W
P
12/04
-15
L
L
P
12/11
-14
L
L
P
12/18
-1
L
L
P
12/24
-4
L
L
P
DAL logo

Cowboys

6-4
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/16
3
W
L
P
10/23
-3
L
P
P
10/30
21
W
W
P
11/14
1
W
W
P
11/20
13
W
W
P
11/24
-3
L
L
P
12/04
-7
L
L
P
12/11
3
W
P
P
12/18
-28
L
L
P
12/24
4
W
W
P