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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ giants week 11, 2000

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    +EV NFL Sides
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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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LAR logo
LARRams
7-2
38
TBD
Giants Stadium
54°F
8 mph
24
NYGGiants
7-2
NYG logo
TBD
Giants Stadium
54°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
14
14
10
0
38
Giants
0
7
10
7
24

Game Statistics

General
Rams logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
397
348
Total Plays
74
56
Yards / Play
5.4
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.04
Passing Yards
256
213
Comp/Att
27/45(60%)
17/34(50%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.15
Rushing Yards
141
135
Rush Attempts
28
19
Yards / Rush
5.0
7.1
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Rams logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
28
14
Passing 1st downs
17
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
23%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Rams logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.79
-9.57
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-27
Sack EPA
-2.74
-4.98
Penalties
2
7
Penalty Yards
10
49
Penalty EPA
-0.94
-3.62

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs Giants Defense
Rams logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
1
4
Yards / Game
1
3
Passing Yards / Game
1
24
Rushing Yards / Game
18
2

EPA

EPA / Play
1
10
EPA / Pass
1
9
EPA / Rush
1
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
27
Interceptions / Game
29
10
Fumbles / Game
4
20
Turnover EPA / Game
6
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
4
4th Down Efficiency
5
3
RZ Efficiency
1
14
Giants Offense vs Rams Defense
Giants logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
16
31
Yards / Game
15
23
Passing Yards / Game
15
30
Rushing Yards / Game
11
10

EPA

EPA / Play
11
29
EPA / Pass
7
27
EPA / Rush
25
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
11
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
19
22
Turnover EPA / Game
22
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
11
16
RZ Efficiency
11
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

8-2
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/30
7
W
P
P
09/04
5
W
L
P
09/10
3
W
L
P
09/17
17
W
P
P
09/24
21
W
W
P
10/01
26
W
W
P
10/15
16
W
L
P
10/22
-20
L
L
P
10/29
10
W
W
P
11/05
-3
L
L
P
NYG logo

Giants

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/02
-8
L
L
P
09/03
5
W
L
P
09/10
15
W
W
P
09/17
7
W
W
P
09/24
-10
L
L
P
10/01
-14
L
L
P
10/08
7
W
W
P
10/15
5
W
W
P
10/29
17
W
W
P
11/05
21
W
W
P