LARRams
-
33
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
69°F
10 mph
13
OAKRaiders
-
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
69°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
3
10
7
27
Raiders
7
6
0
0
13
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
365
395
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
6.1
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.20
Passing Yards
225
300
Comp/Att
18/33(55%)
29/40(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.32
Rushing Yards
140
95
Rush Attempts
26
23
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.10
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
20
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
36%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-17.28
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-3
Sack EPA
-1.40
-1.89
Penalties
8
11
Penalty Yards
70
155
Penalty EPA
-1.45
-12.39
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model62.0%
Spread Pick
Raiders+6.5
Expected Value
+10.0%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-26
Home nfelo
1,450
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+56.4
Base HFA
+56.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-9.2
Home QB Adjustment
-2.0
Away QB Adjustment
+7.2
Market Regression
-39.2
Final Difference
-85.4
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+7.2
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-2.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
32
Yards / Game
3
26
Passing Yards / Game
9
6
Rushing Yards / Game
3
30
EPA
EPA / Play
3
32
EPA / Pass
5
32
EPA / Rush
3
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
12
14
Fumbles / Game
6
31
Turnover EPA / Game
28
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
30
4th Down Efficiency
19
28
RZ Efficiency
19
18
Raiders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
18
Yards / Game
23
20
Passing Yards / Game
12
15
Rushing Yards / Game
25
17
EPA
EPA / Play
26
17
EPA / Pass
21
10
EPA / Rush
29
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
26
Interceptions / Game
8
5
Fumbles / Game
31
6
Turnover EPA / Game
5
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
6
4th Down Efficiency
28
21
RZ Efficiency
22
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
3-5-2
ATS
3-7
O/U