LARRams
3-1
29
TBD
Lumen Field
57°F
7 mph
30
SEASeahawks
3-1
TBD
Lumen Field
57°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
6
7
13
3
29
Seahawks
7
7
7
9
30
Spread
+1.5
Total
OVER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
477
429
Total Plays
68
68
Yards / Play
7.0
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.13
Passing Yards
--
262
Comp/Att
29/49(59%)
17/24(71%)
Yards / Pass
--
10.9
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.52
Rushing Yards
82
167
Rush Attempts
19
43
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
25
Passing 1st downs
18
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
27%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
60%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.39
-3.53
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-6
Sack EPA
--
-1.75
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
45
45
Penalty EPA
-5.38
-5.47
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+11
Home nfelo
1,546
Away nfelo
1,601
Home Field
+49.4
Base HFA
+55.0
Divisional Adj
-24.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+16.0
Home QB Adjustment
+18.1
Away QB Adjustment
+2.1
Market Regression
+40.0
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.1
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
19
Yards / Game
6
23
Passing Yards / Game
26
7
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
15
19
EPA / Pass
12
18
EPA / Rush
28
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
9
Interceptions / Game
25
9
Fumbles / Game
10
4
Turnover EPA / Game
8
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
31
20
RZ Efficiency
6
23
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
17
Yards / Game
6
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
19
Rushing Yards / Game
6
18
EPA
EPA / Play
9
10
EPA / Pass
7
12
EPA / Rush
19
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
32
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
31
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
17
4th Down Efficiency
10
25
RZ Efficiency
7
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U