LARRams
10-6
30
TBD
Lumen Field
39°F
1 mph
20
SEASeahawks
12-4
TBD
Lumen Field
39°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
11
0
10
24
Seahawks
0
10
3
7
20
Spread
+4.5
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
333
278
Total Plays
71
57
Yards / Play
4.7
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.20
Passing Yards
169
142
Comp/Att
12/25(48%)
11/27(41%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.3
EPA / Pass
+0.02
-0.58
Rushing Yards
164
136
Rush Attempts
43
25
Yards / Rush
3.8
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
11
Passing 1st downs
7
5
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
20%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+3.87
-9.07
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-15
-32
Sack EPA
-4.41
-6.47
Penalties
2
9
Penalty Yards
15
60
Penalty EPA
-1.85
-6.33
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model66.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+133
Home nfelo
1,619
Away nfelo
1,627
Home Field
+3.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+126.1
Home QB Adjustment
-5.0
Away QB Adjustment
-131.1
Market Regression
-7.8
Final Difference
116.0
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
J. Wolford
Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-131.1
Value
Ptile
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-5.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
16
Yards / Game
17
22
Passing Yards / Game
16
31
Rushing Yards / Game
11
5
EPA
EPA / Play
26
14
EPA / Pass
20
22
EPA / Rush
24
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
16
14
Fumbles / Game
19
17
Turnover EPA / Game
9
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
26
4th Down Efficiency
28
4
RZ Efficiency
18
18
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
18
1
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
4
EPA
EPA / Play
6
1
EPA / Pass
12
1
EPA / Rush
7
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
23
Interceptions / Game
22
13
Fumbles / Game
2
16
Turnover EPA / Game
14
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
4
4th Down Efficiency
18
7
RZ Efficiency
3
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
2-8
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U