LARRams
1-0
33
TBD
Nissan Stadium
83°F
3 mph
19
TENTitans
0-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
83°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
3
10
13
33
Titans
0
13
3
3
19
Spread
-5.5
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
439
252
Total Plays
59
64
Yards / Play
7.4
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.27
-0.03
Passing Yards
290
143
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
19/33(58%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
4.3
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.20
Rushing Yards
149
109
Rush Attempts
25
26
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.26
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
42%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.20
-5.22
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-8
-32
Sack EPA
-1.57
-11.01
Penalties
4
10
Penalty Yards
29
62
Penalty EPA
-4.27
-7.55
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model67.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-98
Home nfelo
1,379
Away nfelo
1,539
Home Field
+65.9
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
+13.8
Net QB Adjustment
-4.4
Home QB Adjustment
-3.6
Away QB Adjustment
+0.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-127.4
Model Spread
+5.0
Quarterbacks
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+0.8
C. Ward
Proj. Value
-2.9
Team Elo Adj
-3.6
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
28
Yards / Game
4
25
Passing Yards / Game
2
13
Rushing Yards / Game
13
28
EPA
EPA / Play
17
28
EPA / Pass
8
26
EPA / Rush
26
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
18
16
Turnover EPA / Game
16
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
16
4th Down Efficiency
14
23
RZ Efficiency
21
9
Titans Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
10
Yards / Game
31
9
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
29
10
EPA
EPA / Play
31
6
EPA / Pass
32
5
EPA / Rush
25
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
17
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
29
3
Turnover EPA / Game
14
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
8
4th Down Efficiency
25
30
RZ Efficiency
27
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
4-6
O/U
Titans
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U