LARRams
1-11
7
TBD
Nissan Stadium
54°F
047
TENTitans
5-7
TBD
Nissan Stadium
54°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
0
0
7
7
Titans
14
9
10
8
41
Spread
-13.5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
240
446
Total Plays
65
57
Yards / Play
3.7
7.8
EPA / Play
-0.34
+0.33
Passing Yards
152
--
Comp/Att
27/43(63%)
17/27(63%)
Yards / Pass
3.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.57
+0.52
Rushing Yards
88
160
Rush Attempts
21
30
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
0
Interceptions
5
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.82
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-5
--
Sack EPA
-1.66
--
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
82
40
Penalty EPA
-7.45
-4.22
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-13.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model86.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+325
Home nfelo
1,532
Away nfelo
1,313
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+21.2
Home QB Adjustment
+17.7
Away QB Adjustment
-3.5
Market Regression
-16.6
Final Difference
318.3
Model Spread
-13.5
Quarterbacks
K. Null
Proj. Value
-5.0
Team Elo Adj
-3.5
No recent game data available
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+17.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
28
Yards / Game
29
27
Passing Yards / Game
24
25
Rushing Yards / Game
19
11
EPA
EPA / Play
32
27
EPA / Pass
31
26
EPA / Rush
30
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
32
Interceptions / Game
29
7
Fumbles / Game
19
28
Turnover EPA / Game
2
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
29
31
RZ Efficiency
31
27
Titans Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
31
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
31
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
27
EPA
EPA / Play
13
31
EPA / Pass
17
30
EPA / Rush
2
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
7
Interceptions / Game
14
31
Fumbles / Game
29
7
Turnover EPA / Game
22
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
29
4th Down Efficiency
12
15
RZ Efficiency
9
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Titans
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U