LARRams
7-2
7
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
024
MINVikings
7-2
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
0
0
0
7
Vikings
0
7
0
17
24
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
254
451
Total Plays
56
73
Yards / Play
4.5
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.11
Passing Yards
209
--
Comp/Att
23/37(62%)
27/38(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.32
Rushing Yards
45
171
Rush Attempts
17
35
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
27
Passing 1st downs
12
15
Rushing 1st downs
1
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
27%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.90
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-4.53
--
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
60
65
Penalty EPA
-6.02
-2.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+14
Home nfelo
1,596
Away nfelo
1,602
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.5
Time Adj
+20.1
Net QB Adjustment
-75.9
Home QB Adjustment
-41.1
Away QB Adjustment
+34.7
Market Regression
-7.0
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+34.7
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-41.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
2
Yards / Game
8
2
Passing Yards / Game
13
17
Rushing Yards / Game
7
2
EPA
EPA / Play
6
3
EPA / Pass
8
4
EPA / Rush
7
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
26
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
30
32
Turnover EPA / Game
21
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
1
4th Down Efficiency
22
12
RZ Efficiency
15
4
Vikings Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
10
17
Passing Yards / Game
26
11
Rushing Yards / Game
8
27
EPA
EPA / Play
11
7
EPA / Pass
9
5
EPA / Rush
26
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
24
Interceptions / Game
6
7
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
23
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
14
4th Down Efficiency
31
27
RZ Efficiency
12
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U