BALRavens
4-2
14
TBD
New Era Field
66°F
16 mph
19
BUFBills
1-4
TBD
New Era Field
66°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
0
7
7
14
Bills
3
6
10
0
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
308
242
Total Plays
62
56
Yards / Play
5.0
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.06
Passing Yards
181
139
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
11/21(52%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.14
-0.27
Rushing Yards
127
103
Rush Attempts
24
33
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
14
Passing 1st downs
10
5
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
33%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.46
-3.70
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-10
-14
Sack EPA
-2.15
-2.95
Penalties
11
3
Penalty Yards
91
--
Penalty EPA
-9.80
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
18
Yards / Game
22
31
Passing Yards / Game
29
18
Rushing Yards / Game
15
25
EPA
EPA / Play
28
27
EPA / Pass
27
28
EPA / Rush
22
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
6
8
Fumbles / Game
32
18
Turnover EPA / Game
1
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
29
4th Down Efficiency
12
10
RZ Efficiency
28
4
Bills Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
22
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
32
13
Rushing Yards / Game
16
2
EPA
EPA / Play
24
20
EPA / Pass
31
27
EPA / Rush
16
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
6
13
Fumbles / Game
8
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
6
4th Down Efficiency
16
19
RZ Efficiency
30
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U