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  1. nfelo...
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  3. ravens @ chargers week 12, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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BAL logo
BALRavens
4-6
14
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
32
LACChargers
5-5
LAC logo
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
7
7
0
14
Chargers
0
22
7
3
32

Game Statistics

General
Ravens logo
Chargers logo
Total Yards
210
332
Total Plays
57
65
Yards / Play
3.7
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.23
Passing Yards
154
--
Comp/Att
21/33(64%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.15
+0.46
Rushing Yards
56
83
Rush Attempts
20
30
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
Ravens logo
Chargers logo
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
42%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Ravens logo
Chargers logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-7.35
--
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-37
--
Sack EPA
-8.76
--
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
30
60
Penalty EPA
-2.71
-6.13

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Ravens Offense vs Chargers Defense
Ravens logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
4
Yards / Game
22
14
Passing Yards / Game
29
16
Rushing Yards / Game
15
15

EPA

EPA / Play
28
1
EPA / Pass
27
4
EPA / Rush
22
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
27
Interceptions / Game
6
1
Fumbles / Game
32
7
Turnover EPA / Game
1
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
19
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
28
13
Chargers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Chargers logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
10
22
Yards / Game
20
6
Passing Yards / Game
31
13
Rushing Yards / Game
9
2

EPA

EPA / Play
12
20
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
18
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
12
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
5
25
Turnover EPA / Game
21
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
6
4th Down Efficiency
6
19
RZ Efficiency
15
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BAL logo

Ravens

4-6
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/10
-7
L
L
P
09/16
7
W
L
P
09/23
3
W
L
P
09/30
-14
L
L
P
10/07
2
W
L
P
10/14
19
W
W
P
10/21
-5
L
L
P
11/05
-31
L
L
P
11/11
-14
L
L
P
11/18
-3
L
L
P
LAC logo

Chargers

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/09
11
W
W
P
09/16
-24
L
L
P
09/23
-7
L
L
P
09/30
-14
L
L
P
10/07
38
W
W
P
10/14
14
W
W
P
10/28
25
W
W
P
11/04
-18
L
L
P
11/11
2
W
W
P
11/18
-7
L
L
P