BALRavens
9-3
20
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
49°F
13 mph
10
KCChiefs
7-5
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
49°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
3
3
7
7
20
Chiefs
0
0
3
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
376
276
Total Plays
61
62
Yards / Play
6.2
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.07
Passing Yards
--
141
Comp/Att
21/27(78%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.13
Rushing Yards
93
135
Rush Attempts
34
30
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
17
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
46%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.59
-10.14
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-37
Sack EPA
--
-10.39
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
75
35
Penalty EPA
-9.02
-4.82
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
12
Yards / Game
16
22
Passing Yards / Game
30
21
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
16
21
EPA / Pass
9
19
EPA / Rush
28
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
9
Interceptions / Game
15
18
Fumbles / Game
12
4
Turnover EPA / Game
23
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
19
4th Down Efficiency
2
25
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Chiefs Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
1
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
10
24
Rushing Yards / Game
9
2
EPA
EPA / Play
13
2
EPA / Pass
14
1
EPA / Rush
16
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
31
Interceptions / Game
9
1
Fumbles / Game
20
13
Turnover EPA / Game
18
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
1
4th Down Efficiency
9
7
RZ Efficiency
2
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U