BALRavens
4-1
30
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
61°F
7 mph
28
PHIEagles
1-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
61°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
14
3
7
6
30
Eagles
0
0
6
22
28
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
355
368
Total Plays
67
68
Yards / Play
5.3
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.06
Passing Yards
173
174
Comp/Att
16/27(59%)
21/42(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
4.1
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.13
Rushing Yards
182
194
Rush Attempts
37
20
Yards / Rush
4.9
9.7
EPA / Rush
+0.00
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
38%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.75
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-13
-43
Sack EPA
-4.78
-10.16
Penalties
12
3
Penalty Yards
132
--
Penalty EPA
-13.01
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market80.1%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
Eagles+10.0
Expected Value
+3.8%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-208
Home nfelo
1,474
Away nfelo
1,678
Home Field
+6.3
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-10.6
Home QB Adjustment
-13.5
Away QB Adjustment
-2.8
Market Regression
-45.1
Final Difference
-235.0
Model Spread
+9.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+3.7
Team Elo Adj
-2.8
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-13.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
19
17
Passing Yards / Game
30
29
Rushing Yards / Game
1
22
EPA
EPA / Play
7
12
EPA / Pass
19
15
EPA / Rush
1
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
1
Interceptions / Game
14
29
Fumbles / Game
16
6
Turnover EPA / Game
25
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
8
4th Down Efficiency
16
3
RZ Efficiency
17
28
Eagles Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
1
Yards / Game
25
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
1
Rushing Yards / Game
10
6
EPA
EPA / Play
29
4
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
14
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
15
Interceptions / Game
31
27
Fumbles / Game
23
8
Turnover EPA / Game
5
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
2
4th Down Efficiency
26
10
RZ Efficiency
13
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U
Eagles
5-4-1
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U