BALRavens
8-5
35
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
6 mph
14
NYGGiants
2-11
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
14
7
7
35
Giants
0
7
0
7
14
Spread
-16.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
445
236
Total Plays
59
60
Yards / Play
7.5
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.38
-0.05
Passing Yards
275
181
Comp/Att
21/25(84%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
11.0
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.94
-0.25
Rushing Yards
170
55
Rush Attempts
31
20
Yards / Rush
5.5
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
19
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
12
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
8
3rd Down %
82%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.71
-4.23
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-15
-10
Sack EPA
-4.02
-3.25
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
112
44
Penalty EPA
-17.26
-3.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-14.5
Current
-16.5
Model
-15.5
Win Probability
Market90.3%
Model89.2%
Spread Pick
Giants+16.5
Expected Value
+2.2%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-331
Home nfelo
1,351
Away nfelo
1,644
Home Field
+22.6
Base HFA
+39.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-30.8
Surface Adj
+13.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-60.4
Home QB Adjustment
-26.6
Away QB Adjustment
+33.7
Market Regression
-24.7
Final Difference
-366.0
Model Spread
+15.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+4.4
Team Elo Adj
+33.7
T. DeVito
Proj. Value
-3.4
Team Elo Adj
-26.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
20
Yards / Game
1
23
Passing Yards / Game
13
6
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26
EPA
EPA / Play
1
22
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
1
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
10
Interceptions / Game
1
31
Fumbles / Game
15
8
Turnover EPA / Game
27
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
19
4th Down Efficiency
15
16
RZ Efficiency
1
10
Giants Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
8
Yards / Game
30
8
Passing Yards / Game
23
32
Rushing Yards / Game
22
1
EPA
EPA / Play
29
19
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
24
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
19
21
Fumbles / Game
22
29
Turnover EPA / Game
6
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
20
4th Down Efficiency
19
2
RZ Efficiency
32
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U