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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. ravens @ giants week 15, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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BAL logo
BALRavens
8-5
35
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
6 mph
14
NYGGiants
2-11
NYG logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
14
7
7
35
Giants
0
7
0
7
14

Spread

BAL logo
-16.5

Total

OVER
42.5

Game Statistics

General
Ravens logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
445
236
Total Plays
59
60
Yards / Play
7.5
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.38
-0.05
Passing Yards
275
181
Comp/Att
21/25(84%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
11.0
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.94
-0.25
Rushing Yards
170
55
Rush Attempts
31
20
Yards / Rush
5.5
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
Ravens logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
25
19
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
12
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
8
3rd Down %
82%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Ravens logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.71
-4.23
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-15
-10
Sack EPA
-4.02
-3.25
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
112
44
Penalty EPA
-17.26
-3.46

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-14.5
Current
-16.5
Model
-15.5

Win Probability

Market90.3%
Model89.2%
Spread Pick
NYG logo
Giants+16.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+2.2%
Cover Probability
53.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-333
Home nfelo
1,349
Away nfelo
1,644
Home Field
+22.6
Base HFA
+39.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-30.8
Surface Adj
+13.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-60.4
Home QB Adjustment
-26.6
Away QB Adjustment
+33.7
Market Regression
-25.4
Final Difference
-366.6
Model Spread
+15.5

Quarterbacks

L. Jackson headshot

L. Jackson

Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+33.7
Value
Ptile
09/29
7.2
91
10/06
10.7
97
10/13
2.3
65
10/21
10.1
97
10/27
4.7
78
11/03
6.9
89
11/07
10.8
98
11/17
-1.3
39
11/25
3.7
73
12/01
5.9
83
T. DeVito headshot

T. DeVito

Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-26.6
Value
Ptile
11/12
-6.0
14
11/19
-4.0
24
11/26
-4.7
21
12/11
6.7
89
12/17
-6.3
13
12/25
-6.4
12
11/24
-4.0
22

Team Matchup Ranks

Ravens Offense vs Giants Defense
Ravens logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
3
20
Yards / Game
1
23
Passing Yards / Game
13
6
Rushing Yards / Game
1
26

EPA

EPA / Play
1
22
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
1
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
10
Interceptions / Game
1
31
Fumbles / Game
15
8
Turnover EPA / Game
27
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
19
4th Down Efficiency
15
16
RZ Efficiency
1
10
Giants Offense vs Ravens Defense
Giants logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
31
8
Yards / Game
30
8
Passing Yards / Game
23
32
Rushing Yards / Game
22
1

EPA

EPA / Play
29
19
EPA / Pass
31
11
EPA / Rush
24
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
19
21
Fumbles / Game
22
29
Turnover EPA / Game
6
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
20
4th Down Efficiency
19
2
RZ Efficiency
32
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BAL logo

Ravens

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/29
25
W
W
U
10/06
3
W
W
O
10/13
7
W
W
O
10/21
10
W
W
O
10/27
-5
L
L
O
11/03
31
W
W
O
11/07
1
W
L
O
11/17
-2
L
L
U
11/25
7
W
W
O
12/01
-5
L
L
U
NYG logo

Giants

1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/26
-5
L
W
U
10/06
9
W
W
O
10/13
-10
L
L
U
10/20
-25
L
L
U
10/28
-8
L
L
O
11/03
-5
L
L
O
11/10
-3
L
L
U
11/24
-23
L
L
U
11/28
-7
L
L
O
12/08
-3
L
W
U