BALRavens
1-1
19
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
017
DETLions
0-2
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
10
6
3
19
Lions
0
0
7
10
17
Spread
+7.5
Total
UNDER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
387
285
Total Plays
57
60
Yards / Play
6.8
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.07
Passing Yards
271
192
Comp/Att
16/31(52%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.24
+0.07
Rushing Yards
116
93
Rush Attempts
22
27
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
10%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
1
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.86
--
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-16
-25
Sack EPA
-2.85
-5.05
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
69
--
Penalty EPA
-6.53
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model74.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-181
Home nfelo
1,382
Away nfelo
1,623
Home Field
+58.3
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+1.4
Home QB Adjustment
+9.8
Away QB Adjustment
+8.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-189.9
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+8.5
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+9.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
31
Yards / Game
6
29
Passing Yards / Game
6
24
Rushing Yards / Game
3
28
EPA
EPA / Play
16
30
EPA / Pass
20
29
EPA / Rush
8
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
19
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
13
11
Turnover EPA / Game
5
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
29
4th Down Efficiency
3
28
RZ Efficiency
13
30
Lions Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
18
Yards / Game
22
24
Passing Yards / Game
25
29
Rushing Yards / Game
18
2
EPA
EPA / Play
23
23
EPA / Pass
21
30
EPA / Rush
25
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
3
Interceptions / Game
14
27
Fumbles / Game
20
27
Turnover EPA / Game
8
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
3
4th Down Efficiency
21
23
RZ Efficiency
31
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
5-5
O/U
Lions
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U