BALRavens
4-3
21
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
61°F
10 mph
36
CARPanthers
4-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
61°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
0
7
7
21
Panthers
7
17
3
9
36
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
325
386
Total Plays
64
64
Yards / Play
5.1
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.23
Passing Yards
224
--
Comp/Att
26/44(59%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.37
Rushing Yards
101
154
Rush Attempts
18
33
Yards / Rush
5.6
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.33
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
22
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.68
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-3.41
--
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
68
30
Penalty EPA
-6.65
-3.06
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model54.1%
Spread Pick
Panthers+2.5
Expected Value
+1.5%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-1
Home nfelo
1,517
Away nfelo
1,589
Home Field
+58.0
Base HFA
+58.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+13.6
Home QB Adjustment
+21.9
Away QB Adjustment
+8.3
Market Regression
-28.8
Final Difference
-28.8
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.3
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+21.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
20
Yards / Game
12
16
Passing Yards / Game
18
23
Rushing Yards / Game
2
12
EPA
EPA / Play
16
27
EPA / Pass
19
27
EPA / Rush
10
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
26
Interceptions / Game
6
16
Fumbles / Game
28
10
Turnover EPA / Game
15
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
20
4th Down Efficiency
7
18
RZ Efficiency
20
28
Panthers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
2
Yards / Game
9
1
Passing Yards / Game
17
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
3
EPA
EPA / Play
9
3
EPA / Pass
14
4
EPA / Rush
4
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
21
Interceptions / Game
25
22
Fumbles / Game
9
24
Turnover EPA / Game
19
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
3
4th Down Efficiency
26
10
RZ Efficiency
12
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U