BALRavens
7-3
3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
52°F
20 mph
24
NEPatriots
9-1
TBD
Gillette Stadium
52°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
3
0
0
3
Patriots
0
3
6
9
18
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
124
316
Total Plays
59
73
Yards / Play
2.1
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.51
-0.14
Passing Yards
47
170
Comp/Att
15/35(43%)
15/30(50%)
Yards / Pass
1.3
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.83
-0.08
Rushing Yards
77
146
Rush Attempts
20
42
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
18
Passing 1st downs
5
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
21%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.83
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-46
-2
Sack EPA
-9.84
-1.60
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
106
82
Penalty EPA
-11.92
-10.16
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
2
Yards / Game
31
9
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
8
5
EPA
EPA / Play
26
9
EPA / Pass
29
8
EPA / Rush
17
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
28
Interceptions / Game
4
3
Fumbles / Game
11
2
Turnover EPA / Game
26
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
22
4th Down Efficiency
30
14
RZ Efficiency
20
3
Patriots Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
5
Yards / Game
9
6
Passing Yards / Game
12
10
Rushing Yards / Game
6
8
EPA
EPA / Play
4
2
EPA / Pass
5
1
EPA / Rush
10
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
19
Interceptions / Game
6
7
Fumbles / Game
20
5
Turnover EPA / Game
28
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
8
4th Down Efficiency
21
2
RZ Efficiency
7
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
7-1-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U