BALRavens
8-6
3
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
47°F
15 mph
20
NEPatriots
7-8
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
47°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
3
0
0
3
Patriots
0
13
1
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
313
151
Total Plays
70
50
Yards / Play
4.5
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.28
-0.12
Passing Yards
194
102
Comp/Att
26/40(65%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
3.9
EPA / Pass
-0.51
-0.34
Rushing Yards
119
49
Rush Attempts
23
22
Yards / Rush
5.2
2.2
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
12
Passing 1st downs
14
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-18.40
-1.56
Sacks
7
2
Sack Yards
-57
-6
Sack EPA
-17.25
-2.76
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
60
--
Penalty EPA
-6.51
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
5
Yards / Game
22
7
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
15
20
EPA
EPA / Play
19
8
EPA / Pass
29
13
EPA / Rush
9
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
3
Interceptions / Game
22
18
Fumbles / Game
21
7
Turnover EPA / Game
20
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
15
4th Down Efficiency
29
5
RZ Efficiency
30
15
Patriots Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
7
Yards / Game
18
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
4
Rushing Yards / Game
22
1
EPA
EPA / Play
22
3
EPA / Pass
20
2
EPA / Rush
24
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
4
Interceptions / Game
26
10
Fumbles / Game
13
28
Turnover EPA / Game
12
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
10
4th Down Efficiency
25
19
RZ Efficiency
27
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U