BALRavens
-
27
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
033
OAKRaiders
-
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Ravens
7
7
3
10
0
27
Raiders
0
10
0
17
6
33
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
406
491
Total Plays
67
80
Yards / Play
6.1
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.00
Passing Yards
217
409
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
34/56(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.17
Rushing Yards
189
82
Rush Attempts
34
21
Yards / Rush
5.6
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
26
Passing 1st downs
11
17
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.07
-5.26
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-18
-26
Sack EPA
-7.58
-4.70
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
71
62
Penalty EPA
-6.48
-7.79
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-71
Home nfelo
1,494
Away nfelo
1,635
Home Field
+69.0
Base HFA
+44.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+24.1
Net QB Adjustment
+0.5
Home QB Adjustment
+1.3
Away QB Adjustment
+0.8
Market Regression
+40.8
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+3.7
Team Elo Adj
+0.8
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+0.7
Team Elo Adj
+1.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
26
Yards / Game
6
14
Passing Yards / Game
6
11
Rushing Yards / Game
3
15
EPA
EPA / Play
16
28
EPA / Pass
20
28
EPA / Rush
8
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
11
Interceptions / Game
28
32
Fumbles / Game
13
26
Turnover EPA / Game
5
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
32
RZ Efficiency
13
32
Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
18
Yards / Game
8
24
Passing Yards / Game
2
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
2
EPA
EPA / Play
19
23
EPA / Pass
15
30
EPA / Rush
28
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
3
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
32
27
Turnover EPA / Game
11
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
3
4th Down Efficiency
7
23
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U