BALRavens
3-2
21
TBD
Nissan Stadium
66°F
4 mph
0
TENTitans
3-2
TBD
Nissan Stadium
66°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
7
7
0
21
Titans
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
361
106
Total Plays
72
40
Yards / Play
5.0
2.6
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.46
Passing Yards
--
51
Comp/Att
25/37(68%)
10/15(67%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.28
-0.78
Rushing Yards
123
55
Rush Attempts
35
14
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
7
Passing 1st downs
13
5
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
71%
10%
3rd Down Conversions
12
1
3rd Down Attempts
17
10
Red Zone %
100%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.14
--
Sacks
--
11
Sack Yards
--
-66
Sack EPA
--
-16.79
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
70
35
Penalty EPA
-5.77
-6.07
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model49.4%
Spread Pick
Titans+2.5
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+45
Home nfelo
1,516
Away nfelo
1,536
Home Field
+67.1
Base HFA
+56.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.2
Net QB Adjustment
-2.3
Home QB Adjustment
+3.0
Away QB Adjustment
+5.3
Market Regression
-11.9
Final Difference
4.0
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+5.3
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
3
Yards / Game
12
7
Passing Yards / Game
18
7
Rushing Yards / Game
2
19
EPA
EPA / Play
16
13
EPA / Pass
19
14
EPA / Rush
10
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
10
Interceptions / Game
6
23
Fumbles / Game
28
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
10
4th Down Efficiency
7
15
RZ Efficiency
20
2
Titans Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
2
Yards / Game
25
1
Passing Yards / Game
27
2
Rushing Yards / Game
6
3
EPA
EPA / Play
20
3
EPA / Pass
24
4
EPA / Rush
16
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
14
22
Fumbles / Game
3
24
Turnover EPA / Game
18
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
3
4th Down Efficiency
15
10
RZ Efficiency
23
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U