BALRavens
3-2
24
TBD
Tottenham Stadium
70°F
016
TENTitans
2-3
TBD
Tottenham Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
6
12
0
6
24
Titans
3
0
10
3
16
Spread
-5.5
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
360
233
Total Plays
70
46
Yards / Play
5.1
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.10
Passing Yards
221
104
Comp/Att
21/30(70%)
12/21(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.19
-0.50
Rushing Yards
139
129
Rush Attempts
39
19
Yards / Rush
3.6
6.8
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
9
4
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
8
3rd Down %
50%
11%
3rd Down Conversions
8
1
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
17%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-2.08
-4.32
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-2
-46
Sack EPA
-1.60
-9.23
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
88
45
Penalty EPA
-9.74
-8.65
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-129
Home nfelo
1,472
Away nfelo
1,567
Home Field
-7.7
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.7
Net QB Adjustment
-26.3
Home QB Adjustment
-11.8
Away QB Adjustment
+14.5
Market Regression
-57.2
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+14.5
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-11.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
15
Yards / Game
6
17
Passing Yards / Game
20
19
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
6
28
EPA / Pass
9
30
EPA / Rush
4
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
4
Interceptions / Game
1
32
Fumbles / Game
30
13
Turnover EPA / Game
18
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
18
4th Down Efficiency
2
26
RZ Efficiency
7
1
Titans Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
1
Yards / Game
28
4
Passing Yards / Game
18
15
Rushing Yards / Game
18
12
EPA
EPA / Play
16
2
EPA / Pass
21
2
EPA / Rush
13
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
13
Interceptions / Game
10
10
Fumbles / Game
6
20
Turnover EPA / Game
29
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
9
4th Down Efficiency
11
1
RZ Efficiency
28
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Titans
2-8
SU
4-4-2
ATS
2-8
O/U