NOSaints
5-8
21
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
64°F
13 mph
17
TBBuccaneers
5-8
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
64°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
7
0
0
14
21
Buccaneers
7
0
1
3
11
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
247
283
Total Plays
57
57
Yards / Play
4.3
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.11
Passing Yards
132
114
Comp/Att
14/21(67%)
13/22(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.01
-0.18
Rushing Yards
115
169
Rush Attempts
29
34
Yards / Rush
4.0
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
23%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-3.46
-10.26
Sacks
7
1
Sack Yards
-37
-4
Sack EPA
-8.62
-0.34
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
69
45
Penalty EPA
-9.24
-4.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
9
Yards / Game
15
4
Passing Yards / Game
5
1
Rushing Yards / Game
25
19
EPA
EPA / Play
14
8
EPA / Pass
15
4
EPA / Rush
26
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
9
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
11
16
Turnover EPA / Game
10
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
11
4th Down Efficiency
14
10
RZ Efficiency
5
8
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
26
Yards / Game
22
32
Passing Yards / Game
6
18
Rushing Yards / Game
29
29
EPA
EPA / Play
25
23
EPA / Pass
16
24
EPA / Rush
32
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
12
Interceptions / Game
21
25
Fumbles / Game
29
1
Turnover EPA / Game
3
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
17
4th Down Efficiency
3
32
RZ Efficiency
15
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U