NO logo
NO
-
ATL
-
ATL logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Saints logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
30
19
Yards / Game
26
17
Passing Yards / Game
17
18
Rushing Yards / Game
28
27

EPA

EPA / Play
30
22
EPA / Pass
29
16
EPA / Rush
30
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
29
Interceptions / Game
23
11
Fumbles / Game
24
25
Turnover EPA / Game
5
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
16
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
32
20
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Falcons logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
27
22
Yards / Game
16
10
Passing Yards / Game
22
7
Rushing Yards / Game
13
21

EPA

EPA / Play
27
15
EPA / Pass
23
24
EPA / Rush
16
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
16
Interceptions / Game
3
23
Fumbles / Game
29
2
Turnover EPA / Game
23
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
15
4th Down Efficiency
28
15
RZ Efficiency
12
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/07
-7
L
L
U
09/14
-5
L
L
O
09/21
-31
L
L
O
09/28
-12
L
W
O
10/05
12
W
W
U
10/12
-6
L
L
U
10/19
-12
L
L
U
10/26
-20
L
L
U
11/02
-24
L
L
U
11/09
10
W
W
U
ATL logo

Falcons

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/07
-3
L
L
U
09/14
16
W
W
U
09/21
-30
L
L
U
09/28
7
W
W
O
10/13
10
W
W
U
10/19
-10
L
L
U
10/26
-24
L
L
U
11/02
-1
L
W
O
11/09
-6
L
W
O
11/16
-3
L
L
O