NO logo
NO
-
ATL
-
ATL logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Falcons Defense
Saints logo
Falcons logo

Total

Points / Game
28
14
Yards / Game
21
2
Passing Yards / Game
19
6
Rushing Yards / Game
10
15

EPA

EPA / Play
29
16
EPA / Pass
28
6
EPA / Rush
12
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
28
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
22
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
10
4th Down Efficiency
32
29
RZ Efficiency
21
24
Falcons Offense vs Saints Defense
Falcons logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
25
30
Yards / Game
7
18
Passing Yards / Game
20
7
Rushing Yards / Game
7
18

EPA

EPA / Play
22
27
EPA / Pass
22
29
EPA / Rush
19
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
13
Interceptions / Game
17
24
Fumbles / Game
29
9
Turnover EPA / Game
18
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
27
4th Down Efficiency
22
1
RZ Efficiency
25
30

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/01
-7
L
L
U
12/08
3
W
L
U
12/15
-1
L
W
U
12/23
-34
L
L
U
12/29
-15
L
L
U
01/05
-8
L
W
O
09/07
-7
L
L
U
09/14
-5
L
L
O
09/21
-31
L
L
O
09/28
-12
L
W
O
ATL logo

Falcons

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/01
-4
L
L
U
12/08
-21
L
L
O
12/16
6
W
L
U
12/22
27
W
W
U
12/29
-6
L
L
O
01/05
-6
L
L
O
09/07
-3
L
L
U
09/14
16
W
W
U
09/21
-30
L
L
U
09/28
7
W
W
O