NOSaints
2-7
17
TBD
Gillette Stadium
51°F
12 mph
24
NEPatriots
5-4
TBD
Gillette Stadium
51°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
0
10
17
Patriots
7
7
7
3
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
326
Total Plays
72
62
Yards / Play
5.9
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.19
Passing Yards
338
194
Comp/Att
27/50(54%)
15/29(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.30
Rushing Yards
87
132
Rush Attempts
21
30
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.03
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
20
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.03
-4.50
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-5
-28
Sack EPA
-1.08
-7.73
Penalties
11
5
Penalty Yards
99
50
Penalty EPA
-8.30
-5.03
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
17
Yards / Game
20
24
Passing Yards / Game
5
20
Rushing Yards / Game
18
7
EPA
EPA / Play
30
23
EPA / Pass
25
25
EPA / Rush
26
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
26
Interceptions / Game
30
26
Fumbles / Game
30
29
Turnover EPA / Game
2
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
22
4th Down Efficiency
32
3
RZ Efficiency
27
24
Patriots Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
6
15
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27
EPA
EPA / Play
7
28
EPA / Pass
4
27
EPA / Rush
16
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
13
Interceptions / Game
16
27
Fumbles / Game
7
23
Turnover EPA / Game
16
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
26
4th Down Efficiency
3
31
RZ Efficiency
3
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U