NOSaints
2-8
12
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
043
LARRams
7-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
9
0
0
12
Rams
7
8
7
21
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
365
326
Total Plays
77
56
Yards / Play
4.7
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.43
Passing Yards
263
195
Comp/Att
25/47(53%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.22
Rushing Yards
102
131
Rush Attempts
28
28
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
24
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
42%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
19
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.52
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-10
-18
Sack EPA
-1.98
-4.85
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
80
50
Penalty EPA
-5.42
-3.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
4
Yards / Game
19
11
Passing Yards / Game
20
28
Rushing Yards / Game
17
2
EPA
EPA / Play
30
2
EPA / Pass
25
7
EPA / Rush
21
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
27
Interceptions / Game
30
3
Fumbles / Game
6
26
Turnover EPA / Game
1
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
13
4th Down Efficiency
19
22
RZ Efficiency
24
24
Rams Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
28
Yards / Game
1
19
Passing Yards / Game
7
18
Rushing Yards / Game
12
19
EPA
EPA / Play
1
27
EPA / Pass
1
20
EPA / Rush
10
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
16
Interceptions / Game
10
13
Fumbles / Game
16
10
Turnover EPA / Game
17
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
20
4th Down Efficiency
7
31
RZ Efficiency
2
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
7-2
SU
7-2
ATS
0-0-9
O/U