nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. saints @ titans week 17, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NO logo
NOSaints
5-10
34
TBD
Nissan Stadium
71°F
14 mph
26
TENTitans
3-12
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
71°F
14 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
4
10
14
28
Titans
6
14
3
3
26

Spread

NO logo
-1.5

Total

OVER
39

Game Statistics

General
Saints logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
423
336
Total Plays
52
72
Yards / Play
8.1
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.05
Passing Yards
320
228
Comp/Att
22/27(81%)
21/40(53%)
Yards / Pass
11.9
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.42
-0.21
Rushing Yards
103
108
Rush Attempts
23
28
Yards / Rush
4.5
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Saints logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
45%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Saints logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.35
-8.80
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-13
-23
Sack EPA
-4.87
-14.34
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
84
--
Penalty EPA
-8.29
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-1.5
Model
+1.0

Win Probability

Market53.6%
Model48.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+44
Home nfelo
1,361
Away nfelo
1,377
Home Field
+60.0
Base HFA
+44.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.5
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-1.3
Home QB Adjustment
+0.6
Away QB Adjustment
+1.9
Market Regression
+9.2
Final Difference
12.6
Model Spread
-1.0

Quarterbacks

T. Shough headshot

T. Shough

Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
Value
Ptile
11/02
-2.7
32
11/09
2.8
71
11/23
-4.7
19
11/30
-1.9
37
12/07
-1.0
42
12/14
0.4
55
12/21
1.2
59
C. Ward headshot

C. Ward

Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.6
Value
Ptile
10/12
-6.4
10
10/19
-2.3
35
10/26
-5.2
16
11/02
-6.4
11
11/16
1.9
63
11/23
3.8
76
11/30
-5.9
13
12/07
-3.0
29
12/14
0.1
52
12/21
2.9
71

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Titans Defense
Saints logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
29
28
Yards / Game
23
22
Passing Yards / Game
8
28
Rushing Yards / Game
30
17

EPA

EPA / Play
29
24
EPA / Pass
27
28
EPA / Rush
31
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
5
Interceptions / Game
16
29
Fumbles / Game
27
19
Turnover EPA / Game
8
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
14
4th Down Efficiency
32
30
RZ Efficiency
32
26
Titans Offense vs Saints Defense
Titans logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
30
16
Yards / Game
31
9
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
28
23

EPA

EPA / Play
30
10
EPA / Pass
30
12
EPA / Rush
28
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
8
Interceptions / Game
3
19
Fumbles / Game
32
3
Turnover EPA / Game
17
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
25
11
RZ Efficiency
20
11

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
1-9
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/12
-6
L
L
U
10/19
-12
L
L
U
10/26
-20
L
L
U
11/02
-24
L
L
U
11/09
10
W
W
U
11/23
-14
L
L
U
11/30
-4
L
W
U
12/07
4
W
W
O
12/14
3
W
W
U
12/21
23
W
W
U
TEN logo

Titans

2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/12
-10
L
L
U
10/19
-18
L
L
O
10/26
-24
L
L
O
11/02
-7
L
W
O
11/16
-3
L
W
U
11/23
-6
L
W
O
11/30
-22
L
L
U
12/07
2
W
W
O
12/14
-13
L
L
O
12/21
17
W
W
U