nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. saints @ vikings week 8, 2018

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NO logo
NOSaints
5-1
30
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0
20
MINVikings
4-2
MIN logo
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
7
10
4
3
24
Vikings
7
6
0
7
20

Spread

NO logo
-2.5

Total

UNDER
53.5

Game Statistics

General
Saints logo
Vikings logo
Total Yards
270
423
Total Plays
53
67
Yards / Play
5.1
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.16
Passing Yards
--
338
Comp/Att
19/24(79%)
31/41(76%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.15
Rushing Yards
106
85
Rush Attempts
29
22
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
Saints logo
Vikings logo
1st Downs
17
27
Passing 1st downs
9
19
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
44%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
9
10
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Saints logo
Vikings logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.12
-18.40
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-6.77
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
64
54
Penalty EPA
-7.45
-13.75

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
+2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-0.5

Win Probability

Market56.6%
Model50.9%
Spread Pick
MIN logo
Vikings+2.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+26
Home nfelo
1,585
Away nfelo
1,608
Home Field
+58.6
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-9.5
Home QB Adjustment
+16.3
Away QB Adjustment
+25.8
Market Regression
-48.7
Final Difference
-6.1
Model Spread
+0.5

Quarterbacks

D. Brees headshot

D. Brees

Proj. Value
+1.4
Team Elo Adj
+25.8
Value
Ptile
12/24
-1.2
44
12/31
1.3
62
01/07
5.2
85
01/14
2.0
67
09/09
13.4
99
09/16
2.9
69
09/23
16.4
100
09/30
-3.2
26
10/08
10.6
97
10/21
4.4
77
K. Cousins headshot

K. Cousins

Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+16.3
Value
Ptile
12/17
2.3
69
12/24
3.4
77
12/31
-9.7
3
09/09
0.6
51
09/16
9.6
95
09/23
0.1
47
09/27
10.4
97
10/07
4.9
78
10/14
-0.2
45
10/21
2.0
62

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Vikings Defense
Saints logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
3
10
Yards / Game
8
4
Passing Yards / Game
21
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
14

EPA

EPA / Play
2
2
EPA / Pass
2
1
EPA / Rush
13
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
17
Interceptions / Game
4
20
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
23
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
1
4th Down Efficiency
2
6
RZ Efficiency
4
3
Vikings Offense vs Saints Defense
Vikings logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
18
14
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
6
17
Rushing Yards / Game
29
2

EPA

EPA / Play
27
11
EPA / Pass
25
21
EPA / Rush
32
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
30
Interceptions / Game
8
15
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
10
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
23
4th Down Efficiency
29
7
RZ Efficiency
21
23

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/24
10
W
W
U
12/31
-7
L
L
O
01/07
5
W
L
O
01/14
-5
L
W
O
09/09
-8
L
L
O
09/16
3
W
L
U
09/23
6
W
W
O
09/30
15
W
W
U
10/08
24
W
W
O
10/21
1
W
W
U
MIN logo

Vikings

6-3-1
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
13
W
L
U
01/14
5
W
L
O
01/21
-31
L
L
O
09/09
8
W
W
U
09/16
0
T
L
O
09/23
-21
L
L
U
09/27
-7
L
W
O
10/07
2
W
W
U
10/14
10
W
P
O
10/21
20
W
W
O