SEASeahawks
1-0
7
TBD
Levi's Stadium
70°F
027
SF49ers
0-1
TBD
Levi's Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
1
0
1
49ers
6
14
0
7
27
Spread
-8
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
216
373
Total Plays
47
70
Yards / Play
4.6
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.33
+0.10
Passing Yards
180
184
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.41
+0.07
Rushing Yards
36
189
Rush Attempts
14
45
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
25
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
29%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
7
15
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.52
+4.46
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-3.09
-1.05
Penalties
10
1
Penalty Yards
106
--
Penalty EPA
-13.08
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model72.5%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+8.0
Expected Value
+10.0%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+103
Home nfelo
1,559
Away nfelo
1,482
Home Field
+33.6
Base HFA
+37.4
Divisional Adj
-16.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-7.4
Home QB Adjustment
-12.3
Away QB Adjustment
-4.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
168.3
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-4.8
T. Lance
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-12.3
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
1
Yards / Game
13
2
Passing Yards / Game
8
19
Rushing Yards / Game
18
2
EPA
EPA / Play
10
1
EPA / Pass
15
2
EPA / Rush
16
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
27
Interceptions / Game
12
2
Fumbles / Game
27
19
Turnover EPA / Game
6
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
13
4th Down Efficiency
6
16
RZ Efficiency
27
20
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
25
Yards / Game
6
28
Passing Yards / Game
27
23
Rushing Yards / Game
7
30
EPA
EPA / Play
6
29
EPA / Pass
2
25
EPA / Rush
23
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
3
16
Fumbles / Game
26
7
Turnover EPA / Game
31
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
27
4th Down Efficiency
29
3
RZ Efficiency
19
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
49ers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
2-7-1
O/U