SEASeahawks
7-2
27
TBD
Levi's Stadium
77°F
3 mph
24
SF49ers
8-0
TBD
Levi's Stadium
77°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
0
1
14
3
3
21
49ers
10
0
0
8
0
18
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
336
304
Total Plays
73
79
Yards / Play
4.6
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.30
-0.32
Passing Yards
189
217
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
24/47(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.55
-0.43
Rushing Yards
147
87
Rush Attempts
34
27
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
47%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
2
Turnover EPA
-23.01
-19.98
Sacks
5
5
Sack Yards
-43
-33
Sack EPA
-17.27
-17.03
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
75
40
Penalty EPA
-7.49
-3.19
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model65.0%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+6.5
Expected Value
+6.1%
Cover Probability
55.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+64
Home nfelo
1,568
Away nfelo
1,534
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+50.0
Divisional Adj
-22.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+17.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-15.0
Home QB Adjustment
+8.0
Away QB Adjustment
+23.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
107.2
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+23.1
J. Garoppolo
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+8.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
7
Yards / Game
6
2
Passing Yards / Game
10
2
Rushing Yards / Game
6
12
EPA
EPA / Play
9
3
EPA / Pass
7
2
EPA / Rush
19
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
22
Interceptions / Game
1
7
Fumbles / Game
31
5
Turnover EPA / Game
20
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
2
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
7
27
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
19
Yards / Game
8
23
Passing Yards / Game
15
7
Rushing Yards / Game
2
22
EPA
EPA / Play
4
19
EPA / Pass
5
18
EPA / Rush
8
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
9
Interceptions / Game
20
9
Fumbles / Game
26
4
Turnover EPA / Game
13
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
20
RZ Efficiency
19
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
49ers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U