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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ 49ers week 18, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
13-3
TBD
Levi's Stadium
70°F
0
SF49ers
12-4
SF logo
TBD
Levi's Stadium
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-0.5

Win Probability

Market53.6%
Model51.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+13
Home nfelo
1,623
Away nfelo
1,686
Home Field
+40.0
Base HFA
+44.5
Divisional Adj
-20.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.5
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+37.0
Home QB Adjustment
+25.7
Away QB Adjustment
-11.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-10.4
Model Spread
+0.5

Quarterbacks

S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
-11.2
Value
Ptile
10/20
-3.0
29
11/02
9.3
96
11/09
-3.0
29
11/16
-4.8
19
11/23
1.1
59
11/30
-7.7
6
12/07
2.6
70
12/14
-0.4
46
12/18
-2.4
34
12/28
-5.8
14
B. Purdy headshot

B. Purdy

Proj. Value
+2.8
Team Elo Adj
+25.7
Value
Ptile
12/22
2.6
66
12/30
7.0
90
09/07
2.3
66
09/28
-0.3
47
11/16
2.8
71
11/24
-3.8
25
11/30
2.5
68
12/14
7.4
93
12/22
8.5
96
12/28
10.6
98

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Seahawks logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
2
13
Yards / Game
8
19
Passing Yards / Game
27
4
Rushing Yards / Game
16
6

EPA

EPA / Play
11
18
EPA / Pass
8
24
EPA / Rush
29
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
28
Interceptions / Game
26
29
Fumbles / Game
28
7
Turnover EPA / Game
1
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
15
4th Down Efficiency
8
20
RZ Efficiency
18
15
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
49ers logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
8
2
Yards / Game
7
6
Passing Yards / Game
4
8
Rushing Yards / Game
22
3

EPA

EPA / Play
5
2
EPA / Pass
4
8
EPA / Rush
22
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
26
Interceptions / Game
26
5
Fumbles / Game
15
7
Turnover EPA / Game
12
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
1
4th Down Efficiency
7
13
RZ Efficiency
2
7

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/20
8
W
W
O
11/02
24
W
W
O
11/09
22
W
W
O
11/16
-2
L
W
U
11/23
6
W
L
O
11/30
26
W
W
U
12/07
28
W
W
O
12/14
2
W
L
U
12/18
1
W
L
O
12/28
17
W
W
U
SF logo

49ers

8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/19
10
W
W
U
10/26
-11
L
L
U
11/02
10
W
W
O
11/09
-16
L
L
O
11/16
19
W
W
O
11/24
11
W
W
U
11/30
18
W
W
U
12/14
13
W
W
O
12/22
21
W
W
O
12/28
4
W
W
O