SEASeahawks
-
24
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
84°F
5 mph
27
DENBroncos
-
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
84°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
3
7
7
24
Broncos
7
10
3
7
27
Spread
3
P
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
306
470
Total Plays
55
72
Yards / Play
5.6
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.04
Passing Yards
242
324
Comp/Att
19/33(58%)
25/39(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
8.3
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.10
Rushing Yards
64
146
Rush Attempts
16
32
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.49
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
25
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
1
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
17%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.01
-16.48
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-56
-5
Sack EPA
-8.35
-1.70
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
45
60
Penalty EPA
-8.01
-7.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+24
Home nfelo
1,451
Away nfelo
1,521
Home Field
+76.0
Base HFA
+56.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+18.7
Home QB Adjustment
+24.2
Away QB Adjustment
+5.5
Market Regression
+43.1
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.5
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+24.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
18
22
Passing Yards / Game
19
28
Rushing Yards / Game
1
22
EPA
EPA / Play
6
10
EPA / Pass
8
17
EPA / Rush
5
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
23
Interceptions / Game
2
3
Fumbles / Game
2
15
Turnover EPA / Game
31
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
17
4th Down Efficiency
3
13
RZ Efficiency
6
14
Broncos Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
19
19
Passing Yards / Game
14
24
Rushing Yards / Game
11
18
EPA
EPA / Play
22
19
EPA / Pass
26
11
EPA / Rush
8
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
8
Interceptions / Game
23
19
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
21
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
18
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Broncos
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
5-5
O/U