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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 9, 2022

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
5-3
31
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
21
ARICardinals
3-5
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
7
7
14
31
Cardinals
7
0
1
7
15

Spread

SEA logo
+2

Total

OVER
49.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
421
262
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
6.0
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.19
Passing Yards
263
140
Comp/Att
26/34(76%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.22
Rushing Yards
158
122
Rush Attempts
34
21
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
27
15
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
67%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
10
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.88
-0.90
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-12
-35
Sack EPA
-3.75
-6.62
Penalties
6
12
Penalty Yards
34
77
Penalty EPA
-5.16
-11.98

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0

Win Probability

Market54.2%
Model54.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+35
Home nfelo
1,458
Away nfelo
1,459
Home Field
+42.1
Base HFA
+39.1
Divisional Adj
-17.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.7
Time Adj
+7.0
Net QB Adjustment
-5.7
Home QB Adjustment
+2.5
Away QB Adjustment
+8.2
Market Regression
+14.0
Final Difference
29.3
Model Spread
-2.0

Quarterbacks

E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+8.2
Value
Ptile
10/25
-5.2
18
10/31
1.2
61
09/12
3.1
76
09/18
-2.0
37
09/25
2.3
70
10/02
11.2
98
10/09
4.1
81
10/16
-3.9
24
10/23
-0.1
51
10/30
1.8
66
K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+2.5
Value
Ptile
01/09
-0.3
51
01/17
-8.2
7
09/11
0.9
58
09/18
2.9
75
09/25
2.1
68
10/02
3.5
78
10/09
3.5
79
10/16
-2.1
36
10/20
1.3
61
10/30
2.9
75

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
8
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
14

EPA

EPA / Play
10
21
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
16
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
27
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
27
28
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
22
28
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
22
30

EPA

EPA / Play
30
29
EPA / Pass
28
25
EPA / Rush
15
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
9
Interceptions / Game
28
16
Fumbles / Game
7
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
27
4th Down Efficiency
24
3
RZ Efficiency
11
23

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/02
22
W
W
O
01/09
8
W
W
O
09/12
1
W
W
U
09/18
-20
L
L
U
09/25
-4
L
L
O
10/02
3
W
W
O
10/09
-7
L
L
O
10/16
10
W
W
U
10/23
14
W
W
O
10/30
14
W
W
U
ARI logo

Cardinals

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/09
-8
L
L
O
01/17
-23
L
L
U
09/11
-23
L
L
O
09/18
6
W
W
O
09/25
-8
L
L
U
10/02
10
W
W
U
10/09
-3
L
W
U
10/16
-10
L
L
U
10/20
8
W
W
O
10/30
-8
L
L
O