SEASeahawks
5-3
31
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
021
ARICardinals
3-5
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
3
7
7
14
31
Cardinals
7
0
1
7
15
Spread
+2
Total
OVER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
421
262
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
6.0
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.19
Passing Yards
263
140
Comp/Att
26/34(76%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.22
Rushing Yards
158
122
Rush Attempts
34
21
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
15
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
67%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
10
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.88
-0.90
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-12
-35
Sack EPA
-3.75
-6.62
Penalties
6
12
Penalty Yards
34
77
Penalty EPA
-5.16
-11.98
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model54.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+36
Home nfelo
1,460
Away nfelo
1,460
Home Field
+42.2
Base HFA
+39.1
Divisional Adj
-17.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.7
Time Adj
+7.0
Net QB Adjustment
-5.7
Home QB Adjustment
+2.5
Away QB Adjustment
+8.2
Market Regression
+14.0
Final Difference
29.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+8.2
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+2.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
8
4
Rushing Yards / Game
18
14
EPA
EPA / Play
10
21
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
16
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
27
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
27
28
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
22
28
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
22
30
EPA
EPA / Play
30
29
EPA / Pass
28
25
EPA / Rush
15
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
9
Interceptions / Game
28
16
Fumbles / Game
7
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
27
4th Down Efficiency
24
3
RZ Efficiency
11
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cardinals
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U