SEASeahawks
5-3
22
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
016
ARICardinals
4-4
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
6
0
7
20
Cardinals
0
7
3
6
16
Spread
6
P
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
287
290
Total Plays
60
73
Yards / Play
4.8
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.16
Passing Yards
212
256
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
24/47(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.03
Rushing Yards
75
34
Rush Attempts
23
24
Yards / Rush
3.3
1.4
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.61
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
24
Passing 1st downs
10
16
Rushing 1st downs
3
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
23%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.66
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-26
-17
Sack EPA
-7.18
-2.71
Penalties
12
9
Penalty Yards
108
58
Penalty EPA
-14.01
-7.77
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model69.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-173
Home nfelo
1,437
Away nfelo
1,581
Home Field
+40.4
Base HFA
+56.1
Divisional Adj
-25.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.6
Time Adj
-10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-70.4
Home QB Adjustment
-47.4
Away QB Adjustment
+23.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-145.5
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+23.0
D. Stanton
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-47.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
18
Yards / Game
15
4
Passing Yards / Game
9
24
Rushing Yards / Game
23
6
EPA
EPA / Play
19
6
EPA / Pass
13
9
EPA / Rush
24
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
3
Interceptions / Game
13
12
Fumbles / Game
7
23
Turnover EPA / Game
25
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
6
4th Down Efficiency
7
13
RZ Efficiency
12
23
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
9
Yards / Game
23
11
Passing Yards / Game
8
9
Rushing Yards / Game
30
20
EPA
EPA / Play
30
8
EPA / Pass
29
6
EPA / Rush
31
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
10
Interceptions / Game
28
14
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
5
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
15
RZ Efficiency
30
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cardinals
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U