SEASeahawks
7-5
30
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
018
ARICardinals
6-6
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
17
7
3
3
30
Cardinals
7
3
8
0
18
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
409
358
Total Plays
61
64
Yards / Play
6.7
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.16
Passing Yards
--
235
Comp/Att
24/30(80%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.12
Rushing Yards
176
123
Rush Attempts
31
24
Yards / Rush
5.7
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
47%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
40%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-9.00
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-24
Sack EPA
--
-4.88
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
62
49
Penalty EPA
-6.71
-5.53
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+41
Home nfelo
1,494
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+43.0
Base HFA
+40.0
Divisional Adj
-18.0
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.9
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
+26.9
Home QB Adjustment
+20.4
Away QB Adjustment
-6.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-6.5
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.7
Team Elo Adj
+20.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
16
Yards / Game
15
20
Passing Yards / Game
4
8
Rushing Yards / Game
28
20
EPA
EPA / Play
20
25
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
18
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
6
19
Turnover EPA / Game
10
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
21
17
RZ Efficiency
14
8
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
13
Yards / Game
11
13
Passing Yards / Game
28
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
16
EPA
EPA / Play
8
10
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
5
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
20
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
6
RZ Efficiency
17
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
2-7-1
O/U