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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 14, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
7-5
30
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
18
ARICardinals
6-6
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
17
7
3
3
30
Cardinals
7
3
8
0
18

Spread

SEA logo
+3

Total

OVER
45.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
409
358
Total Plays
61
64
Yards / Play
6.7
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.16
Passing Yards
--
235
Comp/Att
24/30(80%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.12
Rushing Yards
176
123
Rush Attempts
31
24
Yards / Rush
5.7
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
47%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
40%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-9.00
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-24
Sack EPA
--
-4.88
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
62
49
Penalty EPA
-6.71
-5.53

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+42
Home nfelo
1,493
Away nfelo
1,522
Home Field
+43.0
Base HFA
+40.0
Divisional Adj
-18.0
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.9
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
+26.9
Home QB Adjustment
+20.4
Away QB Adjustment
-6.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

E. Smith headshot

E. Smith

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-6.5
Value
Ptile
09/22
-1.8
36
09/30
4.3
76
10/06
2.4
65
10/10
-1.4
38
10/20
1.1
57
10/27
-0.1
48
11/03
-5.0
16
11/17
1.1
56
11/24
-4.5
19
12/01
-0.6
45
K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+20.4
Value
Ptile
09/22
0.0
49
09/29
-5.7
13
10/06
6.2
85
10/13
2.2
64
10/21
2.3
65
10/27
8.7
94
11/03
-4.5
20
11/10
12.0
99
11/24
-4.9
16
12/01
2.0
63

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
17
16
Yards / Game
15
20
Passing Yards / Game
4
8
Rushing Yards / Game
28
20

EPA

EPA / Play
20
25
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
18
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
6
19
Turnover EPA / Game
10
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
21
17
RZ Efficiency
14
8
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
11
13
Yards / Game
11
13
Passing Yards / Game
28
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
16

EPA

EPA / Play
8
10
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
5
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
20
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
6
RZ Efficiency
17
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/22
21
W
W
U
09/30
-13
L
L
O
10/06
-9
L
L
O
10/10
-12
L
L
O
10/20
20
W
W
U
10/27
-21
L
L
U
11/03
-6
L
L
U
11/17
3
W
W
U
11/24
10
W
W
U
12/01
5
W
W
O
ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
2-7-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/22
-7
L
L
U
09/29
-28
L
L
O
10/06
1
W
W
U
10/13
-21
L
L
P
10/21
2
W
W
U
10/27
1
W
W
O
11/03
20
W
W
U
11/10
25
W
W
U
11/24
-10
L
L
U
12/01
-1
L
W
U