SEASeahawks
10-4
35
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
06
ARICardinals
11-3
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
14
0
21
35
Cardinals
0
3
3
0
6
Spread
-9
Total
OVER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
596
216
Total Plays
67
64
Yards / Play
8.9
3.4
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.34
Passing Yards
329
187
Comp/Att
21/32(66%)
18/45(40%)
Yards / Pass
10.3
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.42
Rushing Yards
267
29
Rush Attempts
34
15
Yards / Rush
7.9
1.9
EPA / Rush
+0.39
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
17
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
10
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
42%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-7.04
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-10
-29
Sack EPA
-1.39
-5.12
Penalties
11
1
Penalty Yards
97
--
Penalty EPA
-7.43
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-9.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market78.3%
Model78.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-208
Home nfelo
1,537
Away nfelo
1,664
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-125.6
Home QB Adjustment
-120.7
Away QB Adjustment
+5.0
Market Regression
-33.0
Final Difference
-222.9
Model Spread
+9.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
R. Lindley
Proj. Value
-6.1
Team Elo Adj
-120.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
5
Yards / Game
8
25
Passing Yards / Game
13
26
Rushing Yards / Game
1
17
EPA
EPA / Play
8
3
EPA / Pass
10
6
EPA / Rush
1
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
22
Interceptions / Game
5
9
Fumbles / Game
9
24
Turnover EPA / Game
31
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
8
4th Down Efficiency
29
5
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
1
Yards / Game
28
1
Passing Yards / Game
28
6
Rushing Yards / Game
31
4
EPA
EPA / Play
26
4
EPA / Pass
20
4
EPA / Rush
31
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
12
Interceptions / Game
13
13
Fumbles / Game
5
15
Turnover EPA / Game
19
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
16
4th Down Efficiency
1
28
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
3-6-1
O/U