SEASeahawks
9-6
36
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
06
ARICardinals
13-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
10
20
6
0
36
Cardinals
0
6
0
0
6
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
354
232
Total Plays
69
58
Yards / Play
5.1
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.18
-0.42
Passing Yards
209
205
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
20/43(47%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.55
-0.24
Rushing Yards
145
27
Rush Attempts
36
13
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.1
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
16
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
--
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
53%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-13.58
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-16
-8
Sack EPA
-2.20
-2.67
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
70
43
Penalty EPA
-6.17
-7.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model62.7%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+6.0
Expected Value
+7.7%
Cover Probability
55.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+44
Home nfelo
1,638
Away nfelo
1,638
Home Field
+52.6
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
-26.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-8.7
Home QB Adjustment
+22.4
Away QB Adjustment
+31.1
Market Regression
+1.5
Final Difference
90.2
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+31.1
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+22.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
13
Yards / Game
8
7
Passing Yards / Game
18
27
Rushing Yards / Game
3
8
EPA
EPA / Play
3
11
EPA / Pass
1
8
EPA / Rush
12
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
27
Interceptions / Game
7
4
Fumbles / Game
5
8
Turnover EPA / Game
27
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
12
RZ Efficiency
15
15
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
3
Yards / Game
2
1
Passing Yards / Game
2
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
3
EPA
EPA / Play
2
8
EPA / Pass
3
6
EPA / Rush
11
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
5
Interceptions / Game
23
19
Fumbles / Game
28
14
Turnover EPA / Game
11
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
7
4th Down Efficiency
6
2
RZ Efficiency
10
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
9-1
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U