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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 18, 2021

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
6-10
38
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
30
ARICardinals
11-5
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
7
14
38
Cardinals
1
3
14
6
24

Spread

SEA logo
+5.5

Total

OVER
48

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
431
305
Total Plays
57
72
Yards / Play
7.6
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.03
Passing Yards
229
187
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
28/39(72%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.09
Rushing Yards
202
118
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
6.7
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
67%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
18
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.66
-2.51
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-9
-53
Sack EPA
-7.25
-7.40
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-5.38
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0

Win Probability

Market68.0%
Model65.4%
Spread Pick
SEA logo
Seahawks+5.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+77
Home nfelo
1,582
Away nfelo
1,539
Home Field
+19.9
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
-16.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.2
Home QB Adjustment
+12.6
Away QB Adjustment
-2.6
Market Regression
-3.9
Final Difference
110.5
Model Spread
-4.0

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-2.6
Value
Ptile
10/03
1.2
61
10/07
-2.6
34
11/14
-9.0
6
11/21
-6.3
13
11/29
0.8
59
12/05
0.4
56
12/12
3.1
76
12/21
-7.6
9
12/26
-0.9
46
01/02
5.4
85
K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
+12.6
Value
Ptile
10/03
5.4
85
10/10
-0.9
46
10/17
2.9
75
10/24
-1.4
43
10/28
-3.3
28
12/05
6.6
90
12/13
1.5
63
12/19
-5.3
18
12/25
7.3
92
01/02
7.8
93

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
16
16
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
24
10
Rushing Yards / Game
10
21

EPA

EPA / Play
13
9
EPA / Pass
17
15
EPA / Rush
6
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
15
Interceptions / Game
2
19
Fumbles / Game
5
2
Turnover EPA / Game
31
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
13
4th Down Efficiency
32
9
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
9
28
Passing Yards / Game
10
32
Rushing Yards / Game
14
17

EPA

EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
11
24
EPA / Rush
12
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
7
Interceptions / Game
10
22
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
15
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
14
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/25
-3
L
W
U
10/31
24
W
W
U
11/14
-17
L
L
U
11/21
-10
L
L
U
11/29
-2
L
L
U
12/05
7
W
W
O
12/12
20
W
W
O
12/21
-10
L
L
U
12/26
-1
L
L
O
01/02
22
W
W
O
ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/24
26
W
W
U
10/28
-3
L
L
U
11/07
14
W
W
O
11/14
-24
L
L
O
11/21
10
W
W
U
12/05
11
W
W
O
12/13
-7
L
L
O
12/19
-18
L
L
U
12/25
-6
L
L
U
01/02
3
W
W
U