SEASeahawks
6-10
38
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
030
ARICardinals
11-5
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
7
14
38
Cardinals
1
3
14
6
24
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
431
305
Total Plays
57
72
Yards / Play
7.6
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.03
Passing Yards
229
187
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
28/39(72%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.09
Rushing Yards
202
118
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
6.7
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
67%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
18
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-13.66
-2.51
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-9
-53
Sack EPA
-7.25
-7.40
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-5.38
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model65.3%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+76
Home nfelo
1,581
Away nfelo
1,540
Home Field
+19.9
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
-16.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+15.2
Home QB Adjustment
+12.6
Away QB Adjustment
-2.6
Market Regression
-3.8
Final Difference
110.1
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-2.6
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+12.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
16
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
24
10
Rushing Yards / Game
10
21
EPA
EPA / Play
13
9
EPA / Pass
17
15
EPA / Rush
6
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
15
Interceptions / Game
2
19
Fumbles / Game
5
2
Turnover EPA / Game
31
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
13
4th Down Efficiency
32
9
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
9
28
Passing Yards / Game
10
32
Rushing Yards / Game
14
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
11
24
EPA / Rush
12
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
7
Interceptions / Game
10
22
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
24
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
15
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
14
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U